Oregon

Analysis of state-to-state migration patterns and economic indicators for Oregon, focusing on the 2022–2023 tax filing years.

Overview

Between the 2022 and 2023 filing years, Oregon experienced a net loss of 634 tax-filing households and 5,653 individuals, representing a net outflow of approximately 1.3 people per 1,000 residents. The state saw a net loss of $525.9 million in adjusted gross income (AGI). The largest inflow of households came from California (16,765 households), while the largest outflow went to Washington (15,339 households).

Migration Data

• Net households: -634 tax returns
• Net people: -5,653 exemptions
• Net AGI: -$525.9 million (nominal dollars)
• Net migration rate: 1.3 net people per 1,000 residents (population: 4,233,358)

Income Flow

• AGI moved in: $4.9 billion
• AGI moved out: $5.4 billion
• Net AGI: -$525.9 million

Top Origin States (Inbound Migration)

• California: 16,765 households, $1.5 billion AGI
• Washington: 12,212 households, $888.9 million AGI
• Texas: 3,335 households, $252.3 million AGI
• Arizona: 3,130 households, $225 million AGI
• Idaho: 2,534 households, $142.1 million AGI

Top Destination States (Outbound Migration)

• Washington: 15,339 households, $1.4 billion AGI
• California: 10,369 households, $863.5 million AGI
• Texas: 4,018 households, $360.3 million AGI
• Arizona: 4,007 households, $392 million AGI
• Idaho: 3,156 households, $231.3 million AGI

Churn by State (Two-Way Migration)

The largest two-way exchanges of filing households (2022–2023):

• Washington: 12,212 in, 15,339 out, net -3,127 households, -$487.5 million AGI
• California: 16,765 in, 10,369 out, net +6,396 households, +$609.2 million AGI
• Texas: 3,335 in, 4,018 out, net -683 households, -$108 million AGI
• Arizona: 3,130 in, 4,007 out, net -877 households, -$167 million AGI
• Idaho: 2,534 in, 3,156 out, net -622 households, -$89.3 million AGI

Net Migration by Year (2012–2023)

Net AGI and net people by year (nominal dollars):

• 2012: +$191.4 million AGI, +6,339 people
• 2013: +$488.5 million AGI, +11,011 people
• 2014: +$686.4 million AGI, +18,860 people
• 2015: +$454.8 million AGI, +14,647 people
• 2016: +$1.5 billion AGI, +35,777 people
• 2017: +$1.5 billion AGI, +34,427 people
• 2018: +$775.1 million AGI, +18,736 people
• 2019: +$782.1 million AGI, +15,196 people
• 2020: +$600.9 million AGI, +11,710 people
• 2021: -$122.3 million AGI, -9,420 people
• 2022: -$533.6 million AGI, -6,896 people
• 2023: -$525.9 million AGI, -5,653 people

Migration in Context

• Population (2023): 4,250,392 (Census estimate)
• Net migration rate: 1.3 net people per 1,000 residents
• Net income per resident: -$124 (≈ -$525.9 million total)

Components of Population Change (2023)

• Births: +38,822
• Deaths: 43,482
• Net domestic migration: -7,370
• Net international migration: +16,833
• Total change: +4,428

Income and Cost of Living

• Cost of living: 5% above the U.S. average (price level index: 104.8)
• Income per person: $67,467 (4% below U.S. average)
• Purchasing power: $64,370 (8% below U.S. average)

Cost Breakdown by Category

• Housing & rents: 109.2 (index, U.S. average = 100)
• Goods: 104.8
• Utilities: 91.0
• Other services: 104.2

Demographics

• Median age: 40.1 years
• Median household income: $80,426 (2% above U.S. median)
• College degree (adults 25+): 36%
• Poverty rate: 11.9%
• Average commute: 23 minutes
• Broadband at home: 92% of households

• Race and ethnicity (share of residents):
• White: 72%
• Hispanic: 14%
• Black: 2%
• Asian: 4%
• Other: 7%

Housing

• Median home value: $454,200 (50% above U.S. median)
• Median rent: $1,450 (8% above U.S. median)
• Homeownership rate: 63%
• Home-price appreciation (past 5 years): +41%
• New home construction (2023): 17,697 units (55% single-family, 45% multifamily)

Local Economy and Risk

• Unemployment rate (2023): 3.8%
• Labor force: 2,169,798 (2,087,617 employed)
• Disaster declarations (2023): 1 major federal (most common: mud/landslide)

Net Migration by Income Bracket

Net migration of tax-filing households by adjusted gross income (AGI), 2022–2023:

• $1–$10k: +283 households, +$1.9 million AGI
• $10k–$25k: +681 households, +$11.7 million AGI
• $25k–$50k: +662 households, +$19.9 million AGI
• $50k–$75k: -538 households, -$32.9 million AGI
• $75k–$100