Senior Director, Global Forecasting, Obesity

Global Forecasting Leadership

• Lead global forecasting for Amgens obesity portfolio, including pipeline assets, launch brands, lifecycle opportunities, and long-range therapeutic area planning.
• Develop and maintain short-term, mid-term, and long-range forecasts that support strategic planning, investment decisions, portfolio prioritization, and performance expectations.
• Establish clear forecasting frameworks, methodologies, governance, and assumptions across global, regional, and U.S. stakeholders.
• Translate forecast outputs into actionable strategic recommendations for senior leadership.
• Serve as a trusted forecasting advisor to Global Commercial, Finance, R&D, Medical, Market Access, and regional leadership teams.
• Ensure forecasts are credible, transparent, and grounded in robust data, business logic, and cross-functional alignment.

Obesity Market and Portfolio Forecasting

• Build forecasts that reflect the complexity of the global obesity market, including treatment adoption, patient flow, diagnosis and treatment rates, payer dynamics, adherence, persistence, capacity constraints, competitor entry, and evolving standards of care.
• Incorporate global and local market dynamics, including epidemiology, pricing and reimbursement, access restrictions, regional launch sequencing, promotional investment, and healthcare system differences.
• Evaluate key forecast drivers such as patient segmentation, demand generation, product profile, differentiation, market expansion, switching, discontinuation, and competitive response.
• Develop scenarios to assess upside and downside risks across major markets and regions.
• Partner with cross-functional teams to assess commercial implications of clinical data, label scenarios, indication expansion, device or formulation changes, and lifecycle opportunities.
• Support business development, licensing, and external innovation assessments as needed through objective commercial forecasting.

Strategic Planning and Decision Support

• Ensure forecasts directly inform global brand strategy, launch planning, annual operating plans, long-range planning, portfolio reviews, and investment trade-off decisions.
• Partner with Finance to align forecast outputs with financial planning cycles, revenue expectations, and business performance management.
• Collaborate with Market Access and Pricing teams to reflect reimbursement scenarios, access timing, net price assumptions, payer restrictions, and affordability considerations.
• Partner with Market Research, Analytics, and Competitive Intelligence to ensure forecasts are informed by the best available evidence and updated as new insights emerge.
• Develop clear narratives that explain forecast movement, key assumptions, risks, sensitivities, and strategic implications.
• Prepare executive-ready materials for senior leadership discussions, governance forums, portfolio reviews, and business planning meetings.

Forecast Governance and Excellence

• Lead cross-functional forecast alignment processes across global, regional, and U.S. teams.
• Ensure seamless forecast transitions from global strategy to regional and U.S. execution, with consistent assumptions, transparent methodology, and clear ownership.
• Drive forecast quality through disciplined model design, assumption documentation, sensitivity analysis, version control, and governance.
• Establish best practices for obesity forecasting, including launch curve development, analog selection, patient-based modeling, scenario planning, and competitive event modeling.
• Identify opportunities to enhance forecasting capabilities through advanced analytics, automation, real-world evidence, and improved data integration.
• Maintain a clear view of forecast risks and opportunities, proactively advising leadership on changes in market outlook.

Cross-Functional and Global Collaboration

• Partner with Global General Managers, regional commercial leaders, U.S. leadership, Finance, R&D, Medical, Market Access, Supply, Manufacturing, and Strategy teams to align around forecast assumptions and business implications.
• Influence senior stakeholders in a highly matrixed global organization.
• Facilitate productive debate around key assumptions while driving alignment and decision-making.
• Ensure global forecasts reflect local market realities while maintaining enterprise-level consistency.
• Build strong relationships across functions to ensure forecasting is embedded into strategic decision-making, not treated as a standalone exercise.

People Leadership

• Lead, develop, and mentor forecasting talent supporting the obesity portfolio.
• Foster a culture of analytical rigor, transparency, accountability, curiosity, and business partnership.
• Champion diversity, equity, and inclusion within the team and across forecasting processes.
• Build forecasting capability across the organization by coaching teams on methodology, assumptions, scenario planning, and interpretation of forecast outputs.
• Encourage innovation while maintaining disciplined forecasting standards.