Demand Planning Manager

Key Responsibilities

• Forecasting & Analytics
  • Own the monthly SKU/retailer forecasting process, applying statistical forecasting models (e.g., exponential smoothing, causal/regression-based methods) alongside market and retailer-specific inputs.
  • Lead new product forecasting, including initial sell-in projections, launch phasing, post-launch tracking, and category contribution analysis.
  • Assess new launch impact on existing products for cannibalization risk or complementary growth.
  • Own forecast accuracy and bias metrics (e.g., WAPE/MAPE) against defined targets; drive root-cause analysis and continuous improvement.
  • Assess actual sell-through vs. plan, identify variance drivers, and translate findings into forward forecast revisions.
• Cross-Functional Engagement
  • Participate in S&OP and business review forums, presenting demand insights, scenario analyses, and tactical recommendations to senior stakeholders.
  • Develop close working relationships with key retailers, providing inventory feedback and collaborating on joint forecasting where applicable.
• Process & Systems
  • Own end-to-end product lifecycle planning, including phase-in/phase-out timing and inventory risk mitigation at end-of-life.
  • Provide input to Supply Planning on inventory strategy discussions.
  • Leverage AI/ML-driven forecasting and analytics tools to improve forecast accuracy, automate routine analysis, and surface demand insights faster, while applying business judgment to validate, adjust, or override AI-generated forecasts to ensure they reflect market reality.

Qualifications

• 6–8 years of experience within Demand Planning, Sales Planning, or Supply Chain preferred.
• Strong Excel skills required; Vanguard experience a plus.
• Proven track record owning forecast accuracy metrics and driving measurable improvement.
• Strong analytical skills with high attention to detail and the ability to translate data into clear, actionable insights for senior stakeholders.
• Experience with demand planning/ERP systems (e.g., SAP IBP, Kinaxis, O9, Anaplan) and BI tools (e.g., Tableau, Power BI).
• Working knowledge of sales strategy and brand positioning.
• Flexible, adaptive mindset with the ability to operate in a fast-paced, evolving environment.
• Cosmetics or Consumer Packaged Goods (CPG) industry experience strongly preferred.

Benefits

• Medical, dental, vision, 401K plan & access to health & wellness programs.
• Paid vacation, holidays, summer Fridays, birthdays off, volunteer time & more.
• Makeup gratis, employee discount on tarte.com, team give-back initiatives.
• Friendly, fun, creative & collaborative work environment.

Pay

Salary range: $80,000–$100,000 (Compensation will depend on a variety of factors, including but not limited to skill level, relevant work experience & education).