Vice President, Macroeconomics and Quantitative Risks

About the role

Job Summary: The Vice President, Macroeconomics and Quantitative Risk is responsible for advancing and embedding an understanding of the macroeconomic environment, its implications for the Kaiser Permanente enterprise, and contemporary approaches to quantitative risk modeling into strategic, financial, and operational decision-making through risk analytics, scenario development, and predictive-model performance monitoring. This leader also designs and operationalizes scenario analysis and risk management tools-such as executive dashboards, key risk indicators (KRIs), and scenario frameworks-to improve risk identification, measurement, prioritization, and mitigation. A core expectation of the role is the ability to monitor and develop macroeconomic forecasts (including representing KP in the economist and analyst community, and in external forums), translate external conditions into consistent enterprise scenarios, and evaluate the performance of predictive models through actual-versus-expected analytics, benchmarking, and documented model limitations. As model development grows to include LLM capabilities it is expected that this individual will help to support responsible use of AI for KP-developed and third-party models.

Primary Location: California, Oakland, Ordway. Work setting is flexible, with travel expected 15% of the time.

Responsibilities

• Macroeconomic Monitoring, Analysis, Forecasting & Scenario Development: Establish a disciplined approach for ongoing economic and industry data identification, monitoring, and interpretation to support macroeconomic insight development, risk sensing, and strategic risk discussions. Understand external data sources and analyses to support macroeconomic insight development, including building relationships with external economists and analysts and representing KP in external forums. Develop and maintain macroeconomic scenarios used consistently across the enterprise for modeling potential risk impacts; continuously refine assumptions based on external changes (e.g., inflation, employment recession probability, trade/tariff impacts, supply chain disruption). Translate macro scenarios into implications for enterprise objectives (e.g., sustainable growth, resiliency, capacity to invest) and