Head of Predictions & Optimization

About the role

Confido is the AI infrastructure powering modern CPG — the platform that 200+ brands like OLIPOP, Simple Mills, Dr. Squatch, and Tropicana use to run everything from deductions to production planning. Finance, accounting, sales, and operations, unified in one system for the first time. We're growing 5x year over year with a small team in New York City; the people who join now will shape the product, the culture, and the company itself. If you want your work on shelves everywhere — and outsized ownership while you build — we'd love to meet you. Location: New York, NY (Relocation supported)

Responsibilities

• Lead pricing and trade optimization for RGM, including price elasticity, promo lift, cannibalization, and halo effects, so you can answer "how much should I charge for this?"
• Build promotion recommendations that get specific. Should a promo run 4 weeks or 8? Should it be a deeper discount, a BOGO, or buy-3-get-1? Which regions, retailers, and accounts should get it?
• Turn predictions into prescriptions by building optimization that works under real constraints like trade budgets, margin targets, and retailer calendars
• Measure what actually worked, using post-event analysis, causal inference, and baselines that brands trust enough to change their plans
• Partner with our AI/ML engineers to take models